Illuminated pyramid sculpture with orange, blue, and pink panels on university campus

The Geometry of Student Success

By Watson Scott Swail, President/CEO & Senior Research Scholar, Educational Policy Institute In the mid-1990s, I created the Swail Geometric Framework to help higher education practitioners better understand the primary factors that contribute to student attrition and the strategies they can use to address them. Since then, dozens—if not hundreds—of universities have used the model successfully. First published in the ASHE-ERIC/Jossey-Bass volume “Retaining Minority Students in Higher … Continue reading The Geometry of Student Success

America’s International Student Reckoning: New Visa Restrictions and Enrollment Declines Threaten Higher Education

For decades, international students have been a cornerstone of American higher education, helping universities fill classrooms, sustain graduate programs, conduct cutting-edge research, and generate billions of dollars in tuition revenue. Today, however, a combination of restrictive immigration policies, declining student mobility, and growing uncertainty about studying in the United States is creating one of the most significant challenges the sector has faced in years. The cost of these losses will be in the tens of millions for individual institutions and hundreds of billions for the US economy as a whole. Continue reading America’s International Student Reckoning: New Visa Restrictions and Enrollment Declines Threaten Higher Education

The War Budget and the Choices We Refuse to Make, or… What $1.79 Trillion Could Have Bought

Secretary Pete Hegseth and General Dan Caine will testify to secure an additional $87 billion for the Iraq conflict, which has cost the U.S. $1.79 trillion. This spending raises concerns about opportunity costs, as similar funds could significantly boost domestic programs like education, healthcare, and nutrition assistance. The war’s continued financial burden remains a pressing issue. Continue reading The War Budget and the Choices We Refuse to Make, or… What $1.79 Trillion Could Have Bought

Putting College Costs in Perspective: A Brief History in Time (and CPI)

by Dr. Watson Scott Swail, President & Senior Research Scientist I grew up at a special, prosperous time in history. Born in the early 60s, I didn’t have the burden of living through a world war. In fact, we didn’t think of war much in my youth. Raised in Canada, Vietnam wasn’t our issue. We read about it. But because it wasn’t us, it mattered … Continue reading Putting College Costs in Perspective: A Brief History in Time (and CPI)

Will Anyone Stand Up for America?

by Dr. Watson Scott Swail, President & Senior Research Scientist UPDATED 4:10PM EST, OCTOBER 16, 2025 Since writing this piece and publishing the morning of October 16, 2025, both Brown University and Penn University have also pushed back on the Trump Compact. That brings them in line with MIT and Dartmouth and leaves four other institutions mulling the Administration’s offer over. Expect more dominoes to … Continue reading Will Anyone Stand Up for America?